Middle East & Africa | The Arabs, Iran and Israel

First, the ceasefire. Next the Trump effect could upend the Middle East

Will Israel and Donald Trump use the threat of annexation to secure a new grand bargain?

A Palestinian inspects the damage at the site of an Israeli airstrike in Al-Maghazi in Gaza
What is coming down the road?Photograph: Getty Images
|DUBAI

Even before the ceasefire in Gaza Donald Trump had begun to reshape the Middle East. He was influential in pushing Israel to a truce with Lebanon in November. The fragile deal struck between Israel and Hamas on January 15th further reduces the intensity of the fighting in the region and resets Israel’s domestic politics. It will also reinforce the president-elect’s power over the Arab states that helped broker the deal, and over Binyamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister.

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This article appeared in the Middle East & Africa section of the print edition under the headline “The Trump effect”

From the January 18th 2025 edition

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