Finance & economics | Free exchange

Does China face a lost decade?

Xi Jinping has the tools to escape Japan’s fate. He should use them

A deflated balloon with Chinese flag on it
Image: Álvaro Bernis

“Ever since the Chinese housing bubble burst,” said Richard Koo of the Nomura Research Institute in a recent talk, “I’ve been getting tons of calls from Chinese journalists, economists, investors and sometimes policymakers asking me, ‘Are we going the way of Japan?’”

This article appeared in the Finance & economics section of the print edition under the headline “In the balance”

From the September 16th 2023 edition

Discover stories from this section and more in the list of contents

Explore the edition

More from Finance & economics

A white fish going into the ,outh of a group of black fishes forming a bigger fish.

Why your portfolio is less diversified than you might think

The most important idea in modern finance has become maddeningly hard to implement

A German flag waves in front of the buildings of the banking district in Frankfurt, Germany.

Can Germany’s economy stage an unexpected recovery?

The situation is dire, but there are glimmers of hope


Italy's Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni smiles at the Palazzo Chigi in Rome.

Giorgia Meloni has grand banking ambitions

Will Italy’s nationalist prime minister manage to concentrate financial power?


Tech tycoons have got the economics of AI wrong

Following DeepSeek’s breakthrough, the Jevons paradox provides less comfort than they imagine

Donald Trump’s economic warfare has a new front

The president has threatened to blow up the global tax system. Will allies be able to stop him?

Don’t let Donald Trump see our Big Mac index

America’s tariff-loving president could learn the wrong lessons from international burger prices