United States | Pennsylvania’s special election

Conor Lamb is likely to lose PA-18

That is still consistent with the idea of a Democratic wave

WHEN Tim Murphy resigned from his post as the representative for Pennsylvania’s 18th congressional district, Republicans had a heavy load lifted from their shoulders. Mr Murphy, publicly a social conservative, was caught sending text messages to his mistress urging her to have an abortion. His re-election campaign would have road-tested the proposition that partisanship covers all sins. The outlook for Republicans was looking good for the special election that takes place on March 13th to replace him, until it wasn’t. Republican state representative and Harrisburg insider Rick Saccone will face off against a former marine and assistant US attorney, Conor Lamb. Republicans have spent more than $9m to preserve control of a district President Donald Trump won by 20 points. They have reason to worry even that sum might not be enough.

This article appeared in the United States section of the print edition under the headline “Oscillate wildly”

The threat to world trade

From the March 10th 2018 edition

Discover stories from this section and more in the list of contents

Explore the edition

More from United States

US President Donald Trump

America really could enter a golden age

Donald Trump would need to build on its strengths, and subdue his own weaknesses

A 4-year-old girl carries a doll while walking with her immigrant mother.

To end birthright citizenship, Trump misreads the constitution

It would also create huge practical problems


Migrants from Mexico and Guatemala are apprehended by U.S. Customs and Border Patrol officers after crossing a section of border wall into the U.S.

Donald Trump cries “invasion” to justify an immigration crackdown

His first immigration executive orders range from benign to belligerent


The new American imperialism

Donald Trump is the first president in more than 100 years to call for new American territory—including Mars

The beginning of the end of the Trump era

The new president is more confident, and radical, than ever—and also more accepted

Pam Bondi seems like a relatively safe pair of hands

But is America’s next attorney-general an independent operator?