Leaders | The shortage economy

The world economy’s shortage problem

Scarcity has replaced gluts as the biggest impediment to global growth

FOR A DECADE after the financial crisis the world economy’s problem was a lack of spending. Worried households paid down their debts, governments imposed austerity and wary firms held back investment, especially in physical capacity, while hiring from a seemingly infinite pool of workers. Now spending has come roaring back, as governments have stimulated the economy and consumers let rip. The surge in demand is so powerful that supply is struggling to keep up. Lorry drivers are getting signing bonuses, an armada of container ships is anchored off California waiting for ports to clear and energy prices are spiralling upwards. As rising inflation spooks investors, the gluts of the 2010s have given way to a shortage economy.

This article appeared in the Leaders section of the print edition under the headline “The shortage economy”

The shortage economy

From the October 9th 2021 edition

Discover stories from this section and more in the list of contents

Explore the edition

More from Leaders

A container ship Gunde Maersk sits docked at the Port of Oakland in California.

Tariffs will spark retaliation, not a manufacturing renaissance

Donald Trump’s pursuit of tariffs will make the world poorer—and America, too 

Four test tubes in the shape of human figures, connected hand in hand, partially filled with a blue liquid. A dropper adds some liquid to the last figure

How to improve clinical trials

Involving more participants can lead to new medical insights


Container ship at sunrise in the Red Sea

Houthi Inc: the pirates who weaponised globalisation

Their Red Sea protection racket is a disturbing glimpse into an anarchic world


Donald Trump will upend 80 years of American foreign policy

A superpower’s approach to the world is about to be turned on its head

Rising bond yields should spur governments to go for growth

The bond sell-off may partly reflect America’s productivity boom

Much of the damage from the LA fires could have been averted

The lesson of the tragedy is that better incentives will keep people safe