Leaders | Outrun the vigilantes

Rising bond yields should spur governments to go for growth

The bond sell-off may partly reflect America’s productivity boom

An upwards red arrow piercing through some bond notes
Illustration: Vincent Kilbride

Brutal bond sell-offs are not what you expect after interest-rate cuts. But since the Federal Reserve started reducing its rates in September the yield on America’s ten-year Treasury has risen by about a percentage point, to 4.7%. A global repricing has followed. In Britain yields have climbed to about where they were after Liz Truss’s disastrous “mini-budget” in 2022, despite interest-rate cuts and austere government rhetoric. Yields are up in the euro zone, Canada and across emerging markets. The striking exception is China, where investors are worried about growth. Almost everywhere else indebted governments, companies and homeowners must grapple with the rising cost of capital.

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This article appeared in the Leaders section of the print edition under the headline “Outrun the vigilantes”

From the January 18th 2025 edition

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