The American credit cycle is at a dangerous point
Welcome to a bad time for big debts
The celebrated tome “Capital in the Twenty-First Century”, by Thomas Piketty, a French economist, runs to 204,000 words—longer even than Homer’s “Odyssey”. But the book’s central argument can be distilled to a single, three-character expression: r > g. As long as “r”, the real rate of return to capital, exceeds “g”, the real rate of economic growth—as Mr Piketty calculated it did over the course of the 20th century—then inequality will supposedly widen.
This article appeared in the Finance & economics section of the print edition under the headline “i > g”
Finance & economics May 27th 2023
- What happens if America defaults on its debt?
- China and Russia compete for Central Asia’s favour
- China’s state capitalists celebrate their soaring shares
- The American credit cycle is at a dangerous point
- What would humans do in a world of super-AI?
- What performance-enhancing stimulants mean for economic growth
More from Finance & economics
Why your portfolio is less diversified than you might think
The most important idea in modern finance has become maddeningly hard to implement
Can Germany’s economy stage an unexpected recovery?
The situation is dire, but there are glimmers of hope
Giorgia Meloni has grand banking ambitions
Will Italy’s nationalist prime minister manage to concentrate financial power?
Tech tycoons have got the economics of AI wrong
Following DeepSeek’s breakthrough, the Jevons paradox provides less comfort than they imagine
Donald Trump’s economic warfare has a new front
The president has threatened to blow up the global tax system. Will allies be able to stop him?
Don’t let Donald Trump see our Big Mac index
America’s tariff-loving president could learn the wrong lessons from international burger prices