Should governments in emerging economies worry about their debt?
As in the rich world, interest rates are below nominal growth rates in many places
FINANCE MINISTERS of yesteryear would have been shocked by the amount of borrowing their successors must now contemplate. But they would have been just as gobsmacked by how cheap that borrowing has turned out to be. In many countries, the interest rate on government debt is expected to remain below the nominal growth rate of the economy for the foreseeable future. In other words, the “growth-corrected interest rate”, as some economists call it, will be negative. That will be the case in all rich countries in 2023, according to projections published earlier this month by S&P Global, a rating agency.
This article appeared in the Finance & economics section of the print edition under the headline “Some pleasant fiscal arithmetic”
Finance & economics February 13th 2021
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