Finance & economics | Some pleasant fiscal arithmetic

Should governments in emerging economies worry about their debt?

As in the rich world, interest rates are below nominal growth rates in many places

|HONG KONG

FINANCE MINISTERS of yesteryear would have been shocked by the amount of borrowing their successors must now contemplate. But they would have been just as gobsmacked by how cheap that borrowing has turned out to be. In many countries, the interest rate on government debt is expected to remain below the nominal growth rate of the economy for the foreseeable future. In other words, the “growth-corrected interest rate”, as some economists call it, will be negative. That will be the case in all rich countries in 2023, according to projections published earlier this month by S&P Global, a rating agency.

This article appeared in the Finance & economics section of the print edition under the headline “Some pleasant fiscal arithmetic”

How well will vaccines work?

From the February 13th 2021 edition

Discover stories from this section and more in the list of contents

Explore the edition

More from Finance & economics

A ping pong game with a container instead of a ball.

Do tariffs raise inflation?

Usually. But the bigger problem is that they harm economic growth and innovation

A Gulfstream G600 from Hampshire Aviation Company lands at Barcelona Airport in Barcelona, Spain.

European governments struggle to stop rich people from fleeing

Exit taxes are popular, and counter-productive


Eagle claws, getting ready to collect bonds from a top hat.

Saba Capital wages war on underperforming British investment trusts

How many will end up in Boaz Weinstein’s sights?


Has Japan truly escaped low inflation?

Its central bankers are increasingly hopeful

How American bankers dodged the MAGA carnage

The masters of the universe have escaped an anti-globalist revolt