United States | Midterm maths: Senate scenarios

Will America’s polls misfire again?

Our statistical model can show what the election would look like if they do

BLUE BELL, PA - SEPTEMBER 11: Democratic Pennsylvania Senate nominee John Fetterman prepares to throw a t-shirt that states "FETTERWOMAN" to supporters during a rally with U.S. Congresswomen Madeleine Dean and Mary Gay Scanlon on September 11, 2022 at Montgomery County Community College in Blue Bell, Pennsylvania. In the November general election, Fetterman faces U.S. Senate candidate Dr. Mehmet Oz. (Photo by Mark Makela/Getty Images)
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This article appeared in the United States section of the print edition under the headline “Will the polls misfire again?”

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