How much power does Alexander Lukashenko have?
The Belarusian strongman is unruly, but dependent on Russia
MEETINGS BETWEEN Alexander Lukashenko and Vladimir Putin are often awkward. In September, when the Belarusian dictator ranted about men “running away” from mobilisation in Russia, his counterpart squirmed in his seat. That reflects their uncomfortable relationship. Mr Lukashenko relies on Mr Putin for economic, political and military support. He is blundering and boastful—often excruciatingly so. But he is also a man who never gives up negotiating. On June 24th he reputedly brokered a deal to end the brief mutiny of the Wagner Group of Russian mercenaries. Eager to prove his agency, he has claimed that he convinced Mr Putin to spare the life of Wagner’s boss, Yevgeny Prigozhin. Mr Lukashenko has been the rebellion’s biggest winner. But how much power does he really have?
From the July 1st 2023 edition
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