The Americas | The China-Mexico-US triangle

Could there be a US-Mexico trade war?

The bilateral trade deficit has exploded since Donald Trump was president

A worker records information near shipping containers at the Port of Mazatlan in Mazatlan, Sinaloa state, Mexico.
Photograph: Getty Images
|Mexico City

Mexican and US officials were cheered by trade data released in February. It showed that Mexico overtook China in 2023 to become the number-one exporter to the United States (see chart). The value of goods sold has been rising steadily, and reached almost $476bn for the year; the equivalent figure for Chinese goods fell sharply, from $536bn in 2022 to $427bn in 2023.

Explore more

This article appeared in the The Americas section of the print edition under the headline “Stuck in the middle”

From the March 16th 2024 edition

Discover stories from this section and more in the list of contents

Explore the edition

Discover more

Close up of  Javier Milei.

Entrevista con Javier Milei, presidente de Argentina

Transcripción de su encuentro con nuestro corresponsal

Javier Milei speaks into a microphone.

An interview with Javier Milei, Argentina’s president

A transcript of his meeting with our journalist


General Motors Ramos Arizpe plant, in Ramos Arizpe, Coahuila State, Mexico

Mexico and Canada brace for Donald Trump’s tariff thrashing

Mexico’s Claudia Sheinbaum and Canada’s Justin Trudeau are taking different approaches to looming trade war


Javier Milei, free-market revolutionary

Argentina’s president explains how he has overturned the old economic order

Is Uruguay too stable for its own good?

The new president must deal with serious problems with growth, education and crime

Bolsonaro’s bid to regain Brazil’s presidency may end in prison

Brazilian police have accused some of his backers of involvement not just in a coup, but in an assassination plot



Discover more

General Motors Ramos Arizpe plant, in Ramos Arizpe, Coahuila State, Mexico

Mexico and Canada brace for Donald Trump’s tariff thrashing

Mexico’s Claudia Sheinbaum and Canada’s Justin Trudeau are taking different approaches to looming trade war


Donald Trump during a campaign rally in Traverse City, Michigan, United States on October 25th 2024

Trump wastes no time in reigniting trade wars

Canada and Mexico look likely to suffer


The biggest losers from Trumponomics

America’s president-elect wants to reshape trade, capital and labour flows

Donald Trump is poised to smash Mexico with tariffs

He has been crystal clear he wants to force the country to do his bidding

Mexico is edging closer and closer to one-party rule

A constitutional crisis is narrowly avoided as Morena tightens its grip