The Americas | The unknown known

How left-wing on economics is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva?

An interview on spending and growth with the front-runner to be Brazil’s next president

Brazil's former president and presidential frontrunner Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva looks on during a meeting of the Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB), that officially nominated him as candidate of the party, in Brasilia, Brazil, July 29, 2022. REUTERS/Ueslei Marcelino
|São Paulo

Two decades ago, when Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva was running for president, “it was as if a meteor was going to hit Brazil,” recalls Pérsio Arida, a Brazilian economist. Markets “demonised” Lula, as the leftist former president is known. The currency, the real, lost 35% of its value and Lula had to write a letter to the Brazilian people promising that, if elected, he would not do anything rash. After he won, “the meteor disappeared,” says Mr Arida. Lula was fiscally prudent during his first four-year term, between 2003 and 2006. After being re-elected to a second, his Workers’ Party (pt) government used a commodities boom to help the poor. Lula’s policies were sometimes inefficient, and he expanded Brazil’s bureaucracy. But he was neither rash nor radical.

This article appeared in the The Americas section of the print edition under the headline “The unknown known”

Should Europe worry?

From the September 24th 2022 edition

Discover stories from this section and more in the list of contents

Explore the edition

Discover more

Javier Milei, free-market revolutionary

Argentina’s president explains how he has overturned the old economic order

Uruguay's centre-left presidential candidate Yamandu Orsi.

Is Uruguay too stable for its own good?

The new president must deal with serious problems with growth, education and crime


Brazil's former President Jair Bolsonaro speaks to members of the media.

Bolsonaro’s bid to regain Brazil’s presidency may end in prison

Brazilian police have accused some of his backers of involvement not just in a coup, but in an assassination plot


The mafia’s latest bonanza: salmon heists

Fish farming is big business in Chile. Stealing fish is, too

Parlacen, a bizarre parliament, is a refuge for bent politicians

A seat in the Central American body offers immunity from prosecution

Brazil courts China as its Musk feud erupts again

Xi Jinping, China’s leader, spies a chance to draw Brazil closer