Finance & economics | Buttonwood

The Federal Reserve’s interest-rate cuts may disappoint investors

Jerome Powell could still surprise on the hawkish side

Illustration of a silhouette of a person in profile wearing a party hat with "0%" on top, blowing a party horn, against a bright pink background
Illustration: Satoshi Kambayashi

The longed-for moment has at last arrived. For two and a half years, ever since America’s Federal Reserve embarked on its fastest series of interest-rate rises since the 1980s, investors had been desperate for any hint of when it would reverse course. But by the time Jerome Powell, the central bank’s chair, announced the first such reduction on September 18th, the debate among traders was no longer “whether” but “how much”. Weeks beforehand, at an annual gathering of central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Mr Powell had already more or less confirmed that a cut was imminent. In the event officials plumped for a jumbo-sized chop, of 0.5 percentage points, to between 4.75% and 5%.

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This article appeared in the Finance & economics section of the print edition under the headline “Party pooped”

From the September 21st 2024 edition

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