For bond investors, every country is an emerging market now
It could take years for rich-world government bonds to become boring again
To label a country an emerging market ought to spark a frisson of excitement. Such economies are meant to be on their way to being “developed”: integrated with the global financial and trade systems, growing stably and providing their citizens with high incomes. Because they aren’t quite there yet, they must pay their creditors a premium. Yet the label also applies to countries where policies have become a tad too thrilling to be trusted. Think of tricky customers like Argentina, whose profligacy made it a serial defaulter on its sovereign debt, or Turkey, where interest rates remain low even as inflation blazes above 80%.
This article appeared in the Finance & economics section of the print edition under the headline “Thrill bills”
Finance & economics December 10th 2022
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