Finance & economics | Free exchange

Will robots displace humans as motorised vehicles ousted horses?

Probably not, but humans have a lot to learn from the equine experience

IN THE early 20th century the future seemed bright for horse employment. Within 50 years cars and tractors made short work of equine livelihoods. Some futurists see a cautionary tale for humanity in the fate of the horse: it was economically indispensable until it wasn’t. The common retort to such concerns is that humans are far more cognitively adaptable than beasts of burden. Yet as robots grow more nimble, humans look increasingly vulnerable. A new working paper concludes that, between 1990 and 2007, each industrial robot added per thousand workers reduced employment in America by nearly six workers. Humanity may not be sent out to pasture, but the parallel with horses is still uncomfortably close.

This article appeared in the Finance & economics section of the print edition under the headline “Remember the mane”

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From the April 1st 2017 edition

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