The greenback’s charm
Investors remain smitten by the dollar. How much longer will their passion last?
LAST week, at a bank's strategy session ahead of a meeting by the European Central Bank to set interest rates, currency traders weighed up the euro-dollar exchange rate. If the ECB cut interest rates, they decided, the euro would fall, because it would have been pushed by outside pressure and forced to turn a blind eye to inflation. But if the ECB kept interest rates unchanged (as it actually did), traders bet that the euro would still fall, because the bank would be choking European growth. The market, it seems, is so infatuated with the dollar and scornful of the euro that the ECB's policy makes no difference.
This article appeared in the Finance & economics section of the print edition under the headline “The greenback’s charm”
More from Finance & economics
China meets its official growth target. Not everyone is convinced
For one thing, 2024 saw the second-weakest rise in nominal GDP since the 1970s
Ethiopia gets a stockmarket. Now it just needs some firms to list
The country is no longer the most populous without a bourse
Are big cities overrated?
New economic research suggests so
Why catastrophe bonds are failing to cover disaster damage
The innovative form of insurance is reaching its limits
“The Traitors”, a reality TV show, offers a useful economics lesson
It is a finite, sequential, incomplete information game
Will Donald Trump unleash Wall Street?
Bankers have plenty of reason to be hopeful