Europe | Kinder surprise

Why Germany’s birth rate is rising and Italy’s isn’t

The government is making it easier to look after kids

They’re coming back
|POTSDAM

IN 1907 AN anxious Austrian, Emil Reich, predicted that Germany would have a population of 150m in 1980 and as many as 200m by the year 2000. It seemed plausible at the time. Germany had a high birth rate and a falling mortality rate. Reich’s prediction, in his book “Germany’s Swelled Head”, turned out to be completely wrong. By the early 1980s East and West Germany had a combined fertility rate lower than anywhere in the world except Denmark and the Channel Islands. Far from exploding, Germany’s population seemed doomed to rapid decline.

This article appeared in the Europe section of the print edition under the headline “A baby boomlet”

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From the June 29th 2019 edition

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