China | Eagle v Dragon

In some areas of military strength, China has surpassed America

The modernisation of the PLA is proceeding at an extraordinary pace

Cadets gather during an open day at the PLA Naval Submarine Academy in Qingdao, Shandong province, China, April 21st 2024
A very modern marinerPhotograph: Reuters

As he prepares for a second term, Donald Trump will receive the same simple message from all 18 of America’s intelligence agencies: Russia may be causing mayhem in Europe, but only China has the wherewithal to mount a global challenge. “Beijing is accelerating the development of key capabilities,” said the co-ordinating body for American spooks last year. Those capabilities, it added, are ones that China “believes the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) needs to confront the United States in a large-scale, sustained conflict”.

Explore more

This article appeared in the China section of the print edition under the headline “Where China leads”

From the November 9th 2024 edition

Discover stories from this section and more in the list of contents

Explore the edition

Discover more

An employee works at the grain reserve warehouse of a soybean processing enterprise

Trump, trade and feeding China’s pigs

As a trade war looms, China looks to cut its reliance on America

A little black figure struggles to open a door in the back of Xi Jinping's head.

Helping America’s hawks get inside the head of Xi Jinping

China’s leader is a risk-taker. How far will he go in confronting America?


POlice stand outside a Hong Kong court where 45 pro-democracy activists are to be convicted

Snuffing out the flame of freedom in Hong Kong

Dozens of pro-democracy activists are thrown into jail for up to a decade 


China’s greatest dumpling run

A big gathering of young cyclists is ended by officials

A spate of horrific car-rammings shakes China

They are known as “revenge on society” attacks

Mega-polluter China believes it is a climate saviour 

It accounts for almost 40% of global investment in clean energy



Discover more

Portrait of Comfort Ero

The World Ahead By Invitation: Peacemaking in 2025

Comfort Ero offers three lessons for peacemaking in an unstable world

Global conflict is rising, but peacemaking is still vital, argues the president of International Crisis Group

illustration of three rubik's cubes, depicting different areas of the world

The World Ahead Alliances in 2025

How the world lines up, from wars to whales

Each hot issue brings a new global alliance


Illustration of a crack in a glass, which doubles as Latin America

The World Ahead The Americas in 2025

What Donald Trump’s return means for Latin America

The topics he cares about—immigration, trade and drugs—put the region in the crosshairs


The World Ahead By Invitation: United States in 2025

Sally Paine outlines how America should deal with the “quartet of chaos”

The professor of history and grand strategy at the US Naval War College says history offers valuable lessons

The World Ahead United States in 2025

A world in turmoil awaits Donald Trump in 2025

In his contempt for allies, the new president will probably add to the chaos

The World Ahead European security in 2025

If Europe wants peace, it must plan for war

But none of its major governments seems ready to face the future