Business | Schumpeter

A history-lover’s guide to the market panic over AI

Past technologies offer clues to what comes next

An illustration of an AI chip trying to stay balanced in a heart-shaped bubble floating above the crash site of a broken 19th century train, a broken telegraph pole, a smashed arc electricity light bulb and a broken pillar of government.
Illustration: Brett Ryder

Andrew Odlyzko, a professor of mathematics at the University of Minnesota, has a side hustle: he has become one of the world’s foremost experts on the history of speculative bubbles. Part of his time is spent at the Bank of England, where he photographs pages from thousands of handwritten ledgers which he later scours for clues about earlier episodes of excess. He hopes that generative artificial intelligence (AI) will one day take the drudgery out of the task. It is not lost on him that the latest speculative mania revolves around the technology itself.

Explore more

This article appeared in the Business section of the print edition under the headline “Bubbleology”

From the August 10th 2024 edition

Discover stories from this section and more in the list of contents

Explore the edition

Discover more

Elon Musk looks on during a conference.

Elon Musk’s xAI goes after OpenAI

The fight is turning nasty

A man waitiing for the lift, which is full of people.

How to behave in lifts: an office guide

Life in an elevator



Gautam Adani faces bribery charges in America

Prosecutors allege one of India’s richest men paid off local officials

Nvidia’s boss dismisses fears that AI has hit a wall

But it’s “urgent” to get to the next level, Jensen Huang tells The Economist

Does Dallas offer a vision of America’s future?

The Texan city embodies the allure of small government