Asia | Banyan

If a China and America war went nuclear, who would win?

After 45 days of conventional fighting nukes would be tempting, wargamers suggest

Illustration of two nuclear bombs about to smash into each other
Illustration: Lan Truong

IT IS BAD enough to contemplate a war in Asia. It is grimmer still to think through a nuclear one. But somebody has to. And so Andrew Metrick, Philip Sheers and Stacie Pettyjohn, all of the Centre for a New American Security (CNAS), a think-tank in Washington, recently gathered a group of experts to play a tabletop exercise—a type of wargame—to explore how a Sino-American nuclear war could break out. The results were not encouraging.

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This article appeared in the Asia section of the print edition under the headline “Tabletop annihilation ”

From the August 24th 2024 edition

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