United States | The numbers game

Can Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump? Here’s what the polls say

How the Democrats’ likely candidate changes the race

US Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a campaign event at Westover High School in Fayetteville, North Carolina, on July 18th 2024
Photograph: Getty Images
|SAN FRANCISCO

AS SOON AS Joe Biden announced that he would no longer seek re-election, attention turned to his replacement. Mr Biden endorsed Kamala Harris, his vice-president and running-mate, and dozens of Democratic lawmakers and governors have followed suit. With the groundswell of establishment support behind her, she is likely to be chosen as the nominee at the Democratic convention next month.

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