What Donald Trump’s election means for the global economy
His explosive plan for tariffs will damage world trade, but he will struggle to implement it in full
By Alice Fulwood, Wall Street editor, The Economist
ALMOST A CENTURY has elapsed since America’s Congress last passed a bill into law levying tariffs on imported goods. The Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930, which raised average tariffs on imports by around 20% and incited a tit-for-tat trade war, was devastatingly effective: global trade fell by two-thirds. It was so catastrophic for growth in America and around the world that legislators have not touched the issue since. “Smoot-Hawley” became synonymous with disastrous economic policymaking.
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This article appeared in the Leaders section of the print edition of The World Ahead 2025 under the headline “Will “tariff man” get his way?”
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