Why is Italy’s public-debt burden so big?
It is the denominator, not the numerator, that is the real problem
One thing everyone knows about Italy is its huge public debt. At almost 150% of GDP, it is admittedly smaller than Japan’s. Like Japan, Italy has mostly run a current-account surplus, making it less dependent than, say, Britain, on the kindness of strangers. But Japan’s debt is mostly in its own currency, a chunk is owned by its central bank, and much of the rest is held by domestic savers (only 7% is foreign-owned). Many rich Italian savers also hold its debt, but some 45% of the stock is foreign-owned. And it is denominated in what is, in effect, a foreign currency: the euro. Hence the interest in lo spread—the difference in yields between Germany and Italy.
This article appeared in the Special report section of the print edition under the headline “Spreadeagled”